UPDATE: Caley informs me now that his ExpG model underwent some significant edits after the season’s opening weeks and so some of these maps below have since been revised.

Here is week two of the Premier League expected goal data courtesy of Michael Caley.

Previous posts can be using this link. The first post in the series includes an introduction as well. You can see it here.


Result: Aston Villa 0-1 Manchester United

ExpG Result: Aston Villa 0.4-0.8 Manchester United

WhoScored Link

Result: Southampton 0-3 Everton ExpG Result: Southampton 0.9-1.4 WhoScored Link

Result: Sunderland 1-3 Norwich City

ExpG Result: Sunderland 0.2-1.0 Norwich City

WhoScored Link

Result: Swansea 2-0 Newcastle United

ExpG Result: Swansea 1.5-0.1 Newcastle United

WhoScored Link

Result: Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Stoke City

ExpG Result: Tottenham Hotspur 1.7-1.7 Stoke City

WhoScored Link

Result: Watford 0-0 West Bromwich Albion

ExpG Result: Watford 0.7-0.6 West Bromwich Albion

WhoScored Link

Result: West Ham 1-2 Leicester City

ExpG Result: West Ham 0.4-1.3 Leicester City

WhoScored Link

Result: Crystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal ExpG Result: Crystal Palace 1.0-1.9 Arsenal WhoScored Link

Result: Manchester City 3-0 Chelsea ExpG Result: Manchester City 2.0-0.7 Chelsea WhoScored Link

Result: Liverpool 1-0 Bournemouth ExpG Result: Liverpool 1.7-0.5 Bournemouth WhoScored Link

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